✨ AI Strategic Synthesis

Analysing latest federal and state sentiment data…

Federal Government (AEC)

Roy Morgan · 22–28 Jun 2026

Two-Party Preferred (2PP)

52.5%
Labor
VS
47.5%
L-NP

Roy Morgan, 22–28 Jun 2026 (n≈1,639). One Nation (26% primary) has overtaken the Coalition as Labor's main challenger; Labor leads 52.5–47.5 on 2025 preference flows. A single poll — a snapshot, not a forecast.

Primary Vote Intention

Labor (ALP)28%
One Nation26%
L-NP Coalition21.5%
Greens13%
Independents / Other11.5%

New South Wales (State)

DemosAU · 15–18 Jun 2026

Two-Party Preferred (2PP)

59.7%
Labor
VS
40.3%
L-NP

DemosAU, 15–18 Jun 2026. Labor holds a commanding statewide lead (59.7–40.3); One Nation (27%) polls ahead of the Coalition on primaries. Next election due March 2027.

Primary Vote Intention

Labor (ALP)32%
One Nation27%
L-NP Coalition20%
Greens13%
Independents / Other8%

Preferred Premier

Chris MinnsLabor · Premier
38%
Kellie SloaneLiberal · Opp. Leader
18%
No preference
44%

Resolve Strategic · 21 May 2026.